Category Archives: Building Plans

A total of 176 building plans were approved by the City of Windhoek in January, representing a 79.6% m/m increase from the 98 building plans approved in December. In monetary terms, the approvals were valued at N$128.7 million. 2022 is off to a better start in both number and value terms compared to January 2021 when 122 building plans worth N$84.0 million got the nod. On a twelve-month cumulative basis, 2,505 building plans worth approximately N$2.01 billion were approved, an increase in number of 9.7% y/y and 14.9% y/y in value terms over the prior 12-month period.

In terms of both number and value, additions to properties made up the largest portion of approvals. For the month of January, 99 additions to properties were approved with a value of N$75.4 million, 28 more than the number of additions approved in January 2021. The value of approvals is however slightly skewed by a single large approval of N$21.1 million during the month. 40 Additions worth N$9.2 million were completed during the month.

New residential units were the second largest contributor to the total number of building plans approved in January. 74 New units worth N$47.7 million were approved during the month, representing a 6.9% decrease from the N$51.3 million worth of approvals in the first month of 2021. On a 12-month cumulative basis, residential units recorded a 20.7% y/y increase in value. 30 New residential units worth N$17.1 million were completed during the month. 

3 New commercial units, valued at N$5.5 million, were approved in January. This compares to 1 unit valued at N$7.0 million approved in January 2021. On average over the last 20 years, 4 commercial units valued at N$26.5 million were approved in the first month of the year. On a rolling 12-month perspective, the number of commercial and industrial approvals have increased to 39 units worth N$169.9 million as at January, compared to the 36 approved units worth N$202.2 million over the corresponding period a year ago. 1 Commercial unit worth N$140,000 was completed in January.

The 12-month cumulative number of building plans approved increased by 9.7% y/y in January. A total of 2,505 building plans to the value of N$2.01 billion were approved over the last 12 months which represents an increase in value terms of 14.9% y/y. Additions to properties, which are generally smaller projects, continue to make up the lion’s share of building plan approvals, although residential units are encouragingly starting to make up a larger portion of overall approvals. Since March 2020, the number of commercial and industrial approvals have remained in the low single digit territory, signalling a lack of investment from businesses. It is evident that the Namibian construction industry continues to tread water as the value of approvals continues to decline in real terms, as the chart above shows. 

The City of Windhoek approved 98 building plans in December, which is a 62.7% m/m decline from the 263 building plans approved in November and 14.8% y/y lower than the 115 approvals in December 2020. In value terms, approvals fell by 46.2% m/m to N$116.6 million. A total of 63 building plans worth N$317.3 million were completed during the month, representing an increase of 23.5% y/y in terms of number and 891.2% y/y in terms of value of completions. A total of 2,451 building plans were approved in 2021, 169 more than in 2020. In value terms, total approvals for the year rose by 5.9% y/y to N$1.96 billion.

Additions to properties once again made up the majority of building plans approved in 2021. Of the 2,451 building plans approved in 2021, additions accounted for 1,574 of these approvals, 27 fewer than in 2020. In value terms, approvals of additions for the year increased by N$55.5 million or 8.0% y/y. 2021 was the first year that the value of additions to properties recorded an increase on an annual basis, following three years of decline. 63 additions were approved in December, 122 fewer than in November and 66.2% lower in value terms at N$36.5 million. During the year 870 additions have been completed to a value of N$237.4 million, a drop of 1.8% y/y in number and 47.7% y/y in value terms.

New residential units were the second largest contributor to the total number of building plans approved with 840 approvals registered in 2021, 200 more than in 2020. In value terms, new residential units approved increased from N$823.5 million in 2020 to N$1.04 billion in 2021. On a month-on-month basis, the number of new residential approvals decreased by 57.3% to 32, while the value of approvals declined by 34.5% to N$69.1 million. 45 Residential units valued at N$38.7 million were completed in December bringing 2021’s total number to 611, down 15.1% y/y. The value of residential completions fell to N$562.5 million, down 46.1% y/y.

A total of 37 commercial and industrial units were approved in 2021 compared to the 41 in 2020. In value terms, commercial and industrial approvals fell by 48.2% y/y in 2021 to N$171.4 million. 3 New commercial units valued at N$11.1 million were approved in December. 3 Commercial and industrial buildings were completed during the month, bringing the year’s total to 10, two fewer than in 2020. In value terms, N$313.9 million worth of commercial and industrial units were completed in 2021, representing an increase of 690.3% y/y, although the increase is mostly driven by the N$250.0 million completion of Nedbank’s new headquarters in December.

The number of building plans approved in 2021 rose by 7.4% compared to 2020, but the cumulative number of plans remains down 28.0% from its peak in 2013. The cumulative value of approvals increased by 5.9% y/y to N$1.96 billion in 2021 and is down 24.8% from the peak in 2013 in nominal terms. Building plans approved is a leading indicator of economic activity in the country and the above data implies that the Namibian economy has shown some recovery in 2021 following the Covid-19 slump, it is still showing signs of hardship. The low number of commercial building plan approvals in 2021 is another sign of this and indicate that most businesses are not planning on expanding their existing operations.

In November the City of Windhoek approved 263 building plans, a 3.0% m/m decrease from the 271 approved in October. The total value of approvals decreased by 2.1% m/m to N$216.9 million. On a 12-month cumulative basis, the number of approvals has risen by 9.3% y/y to 2,468 but the value of these approvals has declined by 1.1% y/y to N$1.92 billion. Year-to-date there have been 2,353 approvals valued at N$1.85 billion. 139 construction projects were completed in November at a value of N$99.9 million. In terms of value, this equates to a 147.1% y/y increase and a 71.0% m/m increase. However, on a 12-month cumulative basis the value of completed projects is down 46.3% y/y.  

185 additions to properties were approved at a value of N$107.9 million in November, making November the best month, in terms of value, for addition approvals in 2021. This represents a 12.1% y/y increase in number and 13.5% y/y increase in value. Month-on-month this translates to a 7.5% decrease in number but a 37.9% increase in value. 47 additions to properties were completed in November at a value of N$11.1 million. The latter months of 2020 saw a particularly slow rate of construction completions, therefore the year-on-year change in the value of additions completed has doubled (approximately 101.1% y/y increase in value). On a year-to-date basis, the number of additions to properties completed stands at 855, at a value of N$233.8 million. While the number of additions completed by this time last year is similar (866 by November 2020) the value of those additions stood significantly higher, at N$444.8 million.   

75 residential units were approved in November at a value of N$105.5 million, translating to an 8.7% m/m increase in number and a 29.6% m/m increase in value. Year-to-date 808 units have been approved at a value of N$968.8 million. These numbers compare favourably to last November’s year-to-date figures when only 610 residential units were approved at a value of N$798.2 million. Accordingly, on a 12-month cumulative basis, the value of residential approvals increased by 9.3% y/y and the number of approvals by 7.9% y/y. 90 residential units were completed in November at a value of N$70.8 million, making November the best month for the number of residential unit completions in 2021. On a 12-month cumulative basis the number of residential properties completed now stands at 596, with a collective value of N$540.6 million. Following the trend seen in completions of additions to properties, the 12-month cumulative value figure for residential units completed has fallen by 46.3% y/y.

In November three commercial units with a combined value of N$3.5 million were approved. Year-to-date 34 commercial units worth N$160.3 million have been approved. In terms of value, that’s 47.4% lower than at the same time last year. Two commercial units were completed in November at a value of N$18.1 million. After six consecutive months with zero completions Windhoek has now seen back-to-back months with commercial completions, the first time that has happened in 2021. Encouragingly, this means that the year-to-date value of commercial construction projects completed is higher now than it was at the same time in 2020.

On a 12-month cumulative basis, the number of building plans completed fell by 8.3% y/y and by 46.3% y/y in terms of value. Given the severity of the general economic contraction in the past 18 months this is not surprising. The year-on-year change of the 12-month cumulative value of plans completed is therefore likely to remain negative for several more months.

As the year draws to a close, we now have a sufficiently detailed picture of how well the construction industry faired in 2021. In a phrase, 2021 was not all that bad. The year-to-date figure for total building plan approvals stands at N$1.85 billion, that’s a 3.9% y/y increase from the N$1.78 billion approved by last November. The success and rate with which these approvals are converted into completions will go a long way to determining the fortunes of the construction sector in 2022.  While the year-to-date value of total building completions remains well off 2020 levels, in the context of the last five years the figure (N$796.5 million y-t-d completions by November 2021) doesn’t look out of place (5-year November average; N$913.8 million).