Building Plans – April 2022

The City of Windhoek approved 173 building plans in April, representing a 12.6% m/m decline from the 198 building plans approved in March. In monetary terms, the approvals were valued at N$106.0 million, a 17.2% m/m contraction. Year-to-date 766 building plans worth N$519.0 million have gotten the nod, a decrease in number of 6.7% y/y, and 18.9% y/y in value terms. On a twelve-month cumulative basis 2,396 building plans worth N$1.84 billion were approved, a contraction of 8.1% in number, and 4.9% in value terms over the prior 12-month period. 78 building plans worth N$43.0 million were completed during the month.

Additions to properties once again made up the largest portion of approvals, in both number and value terms. For the month of April 114 additions to properties were approved with a value of N$63.0 million, compared to 133 approvals worth N$56.2 million in March. The data shows a single addition worth N$31.0 million being approved during the month, making up nearly half the total value of additions to properties approved during the month. Year-to-date 478 additions to properties have been approved with a value of N$240.4 million, a contraction of 6.5% y/y in number terms but an increase of 7.1% y/y in value terms. 35 additions worth N$10.3 million were completed in April.

New residential units were the second largest contributor to the number and value of building plans approved with 58 approvals registered in April, 5 fewer than in March. In value terms N$42.7 million worth of residential units were approved in April, a 2.1% m/m increase. On a year-on-year basis the value of approvals is however 67.1% lower than registered in April 2021. On a 12-month cumulative basis the number of residential units approved fell by 7.1% y/y to 820 and the number has been ticking down since September last year. 42 New residential units worth N$32.7 million were completed in April.

Only one commercial unit, valued at N$380,000 was approved in April. This brings the total number of commercial buildings approved in 2022 to 10, at a value of N$39.2 million. Bar one month, the number of approvals for commercial and industrial properties has been languishing in the single-digit territory since September 2016 and has an average approval rate of fewer than 3 approvals per month over the last 12 months. On a rolling 12-month basis, the number of commercial and industrial approvals increased to 35 units, worth approximately N$184.4 million, an increase of 67.2% in value terms from the period ending April 2021. One commercial building plan was recorded as completed in April, valued at N$65,000. 

As illustrated in the figure above, the cumulative value of building plans approved continues to trend downward in both nominal and inflation-adjusted terms. As approvals is a forward-looking measure of expected construction activity this does not bode well for economic activity in the capital in general. Commercial and industrial construction activity remains extremely subdued. Going forward we expect lower value additions to properties to continue making up the majority of approvals.

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