Category Archives: Vehicle Sales

A total of 996 new vehicles were sold in October, a 2.2% m/m contraction but an increase of 38.7% y/y from the 718 vehicles sold in October 2021. Year-to-date 8,928 new vehicles have been sold, of which 4,541 were passenger vehicles, 3,818 light commercial vehicles, and 569 medium and heavy commercial vehicles. On a twelve-month cumulative basis, a total of 10,417 new vehicles were sold at the end of October, representing an 11.5% y/y increase from the 9,343 sold over the comparable period a year ago.

466 new passenger vehicles were sold during the month, a 7.7% m/m contraction from the 505 sold in September, but a 29.4% y/y increase from the 360 vehicles sold in October 2021. Toyota’s sales accounted for 46.6% of the new passenger vehicles in October. On a 12-month cumulative basis, new passenger vehicle sales have increased by 19.6% y/y to 5,282, the highest level since March 2018. Year-to-date, new passenger vehicle sales rose to 4,541, an increase of 21.3% from the 3,743 vehicles sold during the same period last year.

530 new commercial vehicles were sold in October, representing an increase of 3.3% m/m and 48.5% y/y, the highest year-on-year growth rate since May 2021. The year-on-year increase was almost exclusively driven by an increase in light commercial vehicle sales, with medium- and heavy commercial vehicle sales roughly in line with last year. Light commercial vehicles sales rose by 55.9% y/y to 460, medium commercial vehicle sales rose by 9.1% y/y to 24, and heavy commercial vehicles sales increased by 15.0% y/y to 46. On a twelve-month cumulative basis, light commercial vehicle sales increased by 6.4% to 4,449, while medium commercial vehicle sales fell by 1.6% to 186 and heavy commercial vehicles decreased by 9.4% to 500.

Toyota continues to lead the new passenger vehicle sales with 32.9% of the segment sales year-to-date, followed by Volkswagen with 22.2% of the market share. The two top brands continue to maintain their large gap over the rest of the market, followed by Kia and Suzuki with 9.1% and 7.7% of the market, respectively, leaving the remaining 28.2% to other brands.

On a year-to-date basis, Toyota maintained its dominance in the light commercial vehicle space with 47.5% market share, followed by Nissan with 12.0% of the market. Hino continues to lead the medium commercial vehicle segment with 32.7% of sales year-to-date. In the heavy and extra-heavy commercial vehicle market, Scania retained its position as leader with 26.3% market share.

The Bottom Line

New vehicle sales declined marginally to 996, following August and September new vehicle sales that breached the 1,000 mark. The year-to-date chart at the top of this report shows that new vehicle sales have recovered well this year and are very much in line with the numbers last seen in 2019. October’s new passenger vehicle sales figure of 466 was marginally above the 454 average monthly figure witnessed so far this year. By comparison, the average monthly passenger vehicle sales figure in 2021 was 373. On a 12-month cumulative basis, new passenger vehicle sales of 5,282 are in line with the numbers seen in 2018. New commercial vehicle sales have similarly recovered, but October’s 12-month cumulative figure of 5,135 still lags the pre-pandemic 2019 average of 6,300. Still, monthly new commercial vehicle sales have averaged 439 this year, compared to 412 in 2021 and 367 in 2020, with October’s 530 sales well above this year’s monthly average.

A total of 1,018 new vehicles were sold in September, which is 34 fewer than were sold in August, but represents a 32.7% y/y increase from the 767 new vehicles sold in September 2021. Year-to-date, a total of 7,932 new vehicles have been sold during the first three quarters of the year, of which 4,075 (or 51.4%) were passenger vehicles, 3,358 light commercial vehicles, and 499 medium and heavy commercial vehicles. On a twelve-month cumulative basis, a total of 10,139 new vehicles were sold up to the end of September 2022, representing an increase of 10.4% from the 9,186 new vehicles sold over the same period a year ago.

A total of 505 new passenger vehicles were sold in September, a 2.3% decrease from the 517 sold in August but a 32.9% increase compared to the same month last year. Toyota and Volkswagen’s sales accounted for 63.8% of the new passenger vehicles during the month. Year-to-date, new passenger vehicle sales are up 20.5% y/y. On a 12-month cumulative basis, sales have increased by 18.8% y/y to 5,176, the highest it has been since August 2018.

A total of 513 new commercial vehicles were sold in September, down 4.1% m/m from the 535 commercial vehicles sold in August but up 32.6% y/y when compared to the 387 commercial vehicles sold in September 2021. Light commercial vehicle sales continue to make up the bulk of the new commercial vehicle sales with 448 sold in September, followed by 44 heavy and extra heavy commercial vehicles and 21 medium commercial vehicles. On a year-on-year basis, light commercial sales rose 47.4% y/y, medium commercial vehicles rose 31.3% y/y, while heavy and extra heavy vehicle sales contracted by 34.3% y/y. On a twelve-month cumulative basis, light commercial vehicle sales rose by 4.4% y/y, while medium- and heavy and extra heavy commercial vehicle sales are down by 0.5% y/y and 8.3% y/y, respectively.

Toyota had a strong month and continues to retain its lead in the new passenger vehicle sales segment, accounting for 31.3% of the sales year-to-date, followed by Volkswagen with 23.0% market share. The two top brands have been maintaining their large gap over the rest of the market with Kia and Suzuki following with 9.0% and 7.9% of the market, respectively, leaving the remaining 28.7% of the market to other brands.

On a year-to-date basis, Toyota also maintained its dominance in the light commercial vehicle market with a 46.9% market share, with Nissan in second place with a 12.7% market share. Ford and Isuzu claimed 11.6% and 5.6% of the light commercial vehicle sales, respectively. Hino continues to lead the medium commercial vehicle segment with 27.0% of sales year-to-date. Scania retained its position as the leader in the heavy and extra-heavy commercial vehicle segment with 27.6% of the market share year-to-date.

The Bottom Line

In context, September’s new vehicle sales figure were in line with August sales, again breaching the 1,000 mark. On a 12-month cumulative basis, total new vehicle sales breached the 10,000 level for the first time since March 2020. New vehicle sales this year are trending around the levels seen in 2019. New passenger vehicle sales continue to tick up on a 12-month cumulative basis, while new commercial vehicle sales continue to hover around the 4,800 level, where it has been trending since April 2021.

1,051 new vehicles were sold in August, representing a 55.2% m/m increase from the 677 sold in July and a 37.9% y/y increase from the 762 new vehicles sold in August 2021. Year-to-date 6,915 new vehicles have been sold, of which 3,574 were passenger vehicles, 2,907 light commercial vehicles, and 434 medium and heavy commercial vehicles. In comparison, 6,454 new vehicles were sold by August 2021. 2022’s new vehicle sales are very much in line with 2019’s, as the figure below shows. On a 12-month cumulative basis, a total of 9,889 new vehicles were sold as at August 2022, representing a 6.4% y/y increase from the 9,293 new vehicles sold over the comparable period a year ago.

519 new passenger vehicles were sold during August, an increase of 35.9% m/m from the 382 sold in July, and a 53.6% y/y increase from the 338 new vehicles sold in August 2021. Volkswagen and Toyota were the biggest contributors to the increase in monthly new passenger vehicles in August. Year-to-date, new passenger vehicle sales rose to 3,574, an increase of 19.0% from the 3,003 sold during the same period last year. On a 12-month cumulative basis, new passenger vehicle sales rose by 18.8% y/y to 5,055, the highest level since December 2018, some 44 months ago.

532 new commercial vehicles were sold in August, representing an increase of 80.3% m/m and a 25.5% y/y. While all three sub-categories recorded better sales than last month, the month-on-month increase was largely driven by an increase in light commercial vehicle sales, following a recovery in sales by Toyota. Light commercial vehicle sales rose by 31.4% y/y to 465, medium commercial vehicle sales climbed by 12.5% y/y to 18 while heavy commercial vehicles fell by 9.3% y/y to 49. On a twelve-month cumulative basis, light commercial vehicle sales decreased by 4.6% y/y to 4,137, medium commercial vehicles fell by 2.7% y/y to 179, while heavy commercial vehicles rose by 0.2% y/y to 518.

Toyota retained its lead in the new passenger vehicle sale segment, claiming 29.6% of the sales on a year-to-date basis, followed by Volkswagen with a 23.3% share, slightly higher from the previous month. The two top brands maintained their large gap over the rest of the market with Kia and Suzuki following with 9.2% and 8.2% of the market, respectively, leaving the remaining 29.7% of the market to other brands.

On a year-to-date basis, Toyota also maintained its dominance in the light commercial vehicle space with a 45.9% market share, followed by Nissan with 13.5%. Hino continues to lead the medium commercial vehicle segment with 28.6% of year-to-date sales, followed by Mercedes-Benz with 21.9% market share. In the heavy and extra-heavy commercial vehicle market, Scania retained its position as the leader with 30.7% market share.

The Bottom Line

New vehicle sales recovered materially this month, breaching the 1,000 level for the first time since March. As previously mentioned, the growth was largely driven by a rebound in sales from Toyota in particularly the passenger- and light commercial categories, due to the recommencement of production at the KwaZulu Natal production plant, although Volkswagen also recorded a robust increase in passenger vehicle sales. On a 12-month cumulative basis, new passenger vehicle sales breached the 5,000 mark for the first time since May 2019 and is edging towards 2018 levels. New commercial vehicles sales however continue to hover around the 4,800 level on a 12-month cumulative basis, where it has been trending for the past year.