Comments Off on IJG ALBI Daily Report 13 April 2021
Please note that the NSX yesterday made changes to the spreads of the
GC27 and GC40 secondary trades of 9 April. All our valuation files and ALBI
reports from 9 April to this morning have been updated to reflect these changes.
908 New vehicles were sold in March, an
increase of 1.68% m/m from the 893 vehicles sold in February, and a 20.3% y/y
increase from the 755 sold in March 2020. For the first three months of 2021 2,494
new vehicles have been sold, of which 1,122 were passenger vehicles, 1,192
light commercial vehicles, and 180 medium and heavy commercial vehicles. By
comparison, the first three months of 2020 saw 2,221 new vehicles sold. 2021 is
thus off to a slightly better start compared to last year. On a twelve-month
cumulative basis, a total of 7,885 new vehicles were sold as at March 2021,
representing a contraction of 23.3% from the 10,277 sold over the comparable
period a year ago.
A total
of 357 new passenger vehicles were sold during March, decreasing by 13.1% from
the 411 passenger vehicles sold in February. On a year-on-year basis, March new
passenger vehicle sales were 13.7% higher than the 314 vehicles sold a year
ago. Year-to-date, passenger vehicle sales rose to 1,122, 18.4% higher than
during the same period in 2020. On a rolling 12-month basis, passenger vehicle
sales rose to 3,384. This translates into four consecutive months of increases
in this measure.
A total of 551 new commercial vehicles
were sold in March, representing an increase of 14.3% m/m and 24.9% y/y. 489
Light commercial vehicles, 24 medium commercial vehicles, and 38 heavy and
extra heavy commercial vehicles were sold during the month. Light commercial
vehicle sales rose 25.7% y/y, medium commercial vehicle sales climbed 4.3% y/y
and heavy commercial vehicle sales increased by 31.0% y/y. On a twelve-month cumulative
basis, light commercial vehicle sales have declined by 22.2% y/y, medium
commercial vehicles fell by 42.7% y/y, and heavy commercial vehicles dropped 25.0%
y/y.
Volkswagen
continues its strong lead in the passenger vehicle sales segment with 34.9% of
the segment sales year-to-date, followed by Toyota with 25.1% of the market
share. The two top brands maintained their large gap over the rest of the
market with Kia and Mercedes following with 7.0% and 5.1% of the market,
respectively, leaving the remaining 27.9% of the market to other brands.
On a
year-to-date basis, Toyota remained the leader in the light commercial vehicle
space with a 53.5% market share, with Nissan in second place with a 13.8%
market share. Ford and Isuzu claimed 12.0% and 6.7%, respectively, of the
number of light commercial vehicles sold thus far in 2021. Hino leads the
medium commercial vehicle segment with 26.1% of sales year-to-date, while
Scania was number one in the heavy and extra-heavy commercial vehicle segment
with 27.6% of the market share year-to-date.
The Bottom Line
March wrapped up the first quarter of
2021 with 908 new vehicles sold, the highest monthly sales figure since October
2019, when 976 new vehicle sales were sold. Total sales for the quarter were
2,494, making it the strongest quarter since the fourth quarter of 2019, when
2,567 new vehicles were sold. This is a positive sign, as vehicle sales
continue to recover to pre-Covid-19 levels, which could indicate somewhat increased
levels of consumer confidence. The rolling 12-month number of new vehicle sales
rose for a third consecutive month to 7,885. The growth is however from a very
low base and overall, 12-month cumulative sales is still down 65.2% from its
peak in April 2015.