{"id":6768,"date":"2015-09-11T11:41:40","date_gmt":"2015-09-11T09:41:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/?p=6768"},"modified":"2015-09-11T11:41:40","modified_gmt":"2015-09-11T09:41:40","slug":"final-national-accounts-2014","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/final-national-accounts-2014\/","title":{"rendered":"Final National Accounts, 2014"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Namibia Statistics Agency has just released the final national accounts for 2014. As per our expectations, we have seen a major upward revision in the overall real growth rate, from 4.5% to 6.4%, slightly below our forecast of 6.8%. This revision brings both the overall growth level more in line with levels seen in high frequency indicators through the year, as well as showing notable improvement in many of the sectors growth levels, bringing these more in line with growth witnessed on the ground.<\/p>\n<p>Some of the key revisions to the supply side tables (real GDP) are noted below.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/NamGrowth.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6773\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/NamGrowth.png\" alt=\"NamGrowth\" width=\"857\" height=\"1262\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NamGrowth.png 857w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NamGrowth-204x300.png 204w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NamGrowth-695x1024.png 695w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NamGrowth-102x150.png 102w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 857px) 100vw, 857px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/REalGDP-Growth.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-6772\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/REalGDP-Growth.png\" alt=\"REalGDP Growth\" width=\"824\" height=\"536\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/REalGDP-Growth.png 1103w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/REalGDP-Growth-300x195.png 300w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/REalGDP-Growth-1024x666.png 1024w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/REalGDP-Growth-231x150.png 231w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/REalGDP-Growth-150x98.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 824px) 100vw, 824px\" \/><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/GDP2014.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6771\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/GDP2014.png\" alt=\"GDP2014\" width=\"1526\" height=\"997\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/GDP2014.png 1526w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/GDP2014-300x196.png 300w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/GDP2014-1024x669.png 1024w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/GDP2014-230x150.png 230w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/GDP2014-150x98.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1526px) 100vw, 1526px\" \/><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6770\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth.png\" alt=\"IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth\" width=\"1609\" height=\"829\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth.png 1609w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth-300x155.png 300w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth-1024x528.png 1024w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth-250x129.png 250w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/IJGvsNARealGDPGrowth-150x77.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1609px) 100vw, 1609px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We also note that we have seen a sizable revision to the deflator between the nominal and real GDP figures. The peculiarly high deflator in the preliminary accounts was of some concern to us, as we believed it was artificially large, and dampening the real GDP growth picture. The new and previous deflators, relative to NCPI, can be seen below.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/NAmDeflator.png\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-6774 aligncenter\" src=\"http:\/\/www.ijg-research.net\/wp-content\/uploads\/NAmDeflator.png\" alt=\"NAmDeflator\" width=\"1245\" height=\"890\" srcset=\"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NAmDeflator.png 1245w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NAmDeflator-300x214.png 300w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NAmDeflator-1024x732.png 1024w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NAmDeflator-210x150.png 210w, https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-content\/uploads\/NAmDeflator-150x107.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1245px) 100vw, 1245px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>We are currently working on a National Accounts review, and will share more thoughts on the current release in due course.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Namibia Statistics Agency has just released the final national accounts for 2014. As per our expectations, we have seen a major upward revision in the overall real growth rate, from 4.5% to 6.4%, slightly below our forecast of 6.8%. This revision brings both the overall growth level more in \u2026 <a class=\"continue-reading-link\" href=\"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/final-national-accounts-2014\/\"> Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr; <\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,29,23,12],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economicresearch","category-other","category-outlook","category-teamcommentary"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6768","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6768"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6768\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6776,"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6768\/revisions\/6776"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6768"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6768"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ijg.net\/research\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6768"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}